What is "during a recession?
During a recession, several key economic indicators worsen, creating a period of significant economic decline. Here's a breakdown of what typically happens:
Key Characteristics:
- Reduced Economic Output: Gross Domestic Product (GDP), the total value of goods and services produced in a country, declines for two consecutive quarters (or more). This is the defining feature of a recession.
- Increased Unemployment: Businesses reduce operations and lay off workers, leading to a rise in unemployment rates. This can lead to decreased consumer spending and further economic contraction.
- Falling Consumer Spending: With job insecurity and decreased income, people tend to spend less money, impacting businesses and further slowing economic growth. This is often a vicious cycle.
- Decreased Investment: Businesses postpone or cancel investments in new equipment, facilities, and research and development due to uncertainty and reduced demand.
- Falling Stock Prices: The stock market usually reflects the overall economic health and often experiences significant declines during recessions, as investors react to the negative news and reduced corporate profits.
- Increased Business Failures: Companies struggle to stay afloat due to lower sales, higher costs, and reduced access to credit. This leads to increased bankruptcies and business closures.
- Credit Market Tightening: Banks become more cautious about lending money, making it harder for businesses and individuals to access credit. Interest rates might rise or fall depending on central bank policy.
- Deflation or Low Inflation: In some recessions, prices may fall (deflation), while others experience very low inflation. This can be a complication as lower prices can delay consumer spending as people wait for further price drops.
- Government Intervention: Governments often intervene through fiscal policy (e.g., increased government spending, tax cuts) and monetary policy (e.g., lowering interest rates) to stimulate economic growth.
Impact on Individuals:
- Job Losses: Increased unemployment leads to job losses and financial insecurity.
- Reduced Income: Reduced income can lead to difficulties paying bills, mortgages, and other expenses.
- Increased Poverty: Recessions can push many people into poverty or exacerbate existing inequalities.
- Decreased Consumer Confidence: Uncertainty about the future can lead to decreased consumer confidence, further impacting spending and economic activity.
Impact on Businesses:
- Reduced Sales: Businesses experience lower sales due to decreased consumer spending and investment.
- Decreased Profits: Reduced sales and increased costs lead to lower profits.
- Layoffs and Downsizing: Businesses often respond to economic downturns by laying off employees and downsizing operations.
- Increased Risk of Bankruptcy: Many businesses struggle to survive during recessions, leading to increased bankruptcies and business closures.
It's important to note that recessions vary in their severity and duration. Some are short and mild, while others can be long and severe, with lasting consequences for the economy and individuals. The specific impacts of a recession also depend on various factors, including the underlying causes of the recession, the government's response, and the resilience of the economy.